Intelligent Risk Taking In The Age Of AI
Intelligent Risk Taking In The Age Of AI
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Intelligent Risk Taking In The Age Of AI

Contributor,Kate Duchene 🕒︎ 2025-10-30

Copyright forbes

Intelligent Risk Taking In The Age Of AI

Modern CFOs are staying ahead of disruption by embedding intelligent risk and resilience as core organizational capabilities. Over the past few years, I’ve had countless conversations with CFOs navigating the convergence of pandemic aftershocks, geopolitical disruption, and the relentless advance of AI. One thing becomes clear every time: reacting to risk isn’t enough anymore. The ability to anticipate, absorb, and adapt to risk must be engineered into how an organization thinks, decides, and moves. The most forward-thinking finance leaders I know are already doing this. They’re not waiting for the next shock—they’re building engines that surface signals early: mapping climate exposure, modeling regulatory volatility, and using AI to detect emerging disruptions long before they land. These CFOs are embedding resilience as a core capability, not a crisis response. In an article published in Harvard Business Review, members of the Center for Macroeconomics at the BCG Henderson Institute describe resilience as a strategic asset: “Resilience is the ability to endure systemic discontinuities and adapt to new risk environments. It is now a strategic imperative.” That view resonates deeply. A recent BCG study reinforces it, showing that companies with mature risk management practices—not just systems but cultures—were far more likely to emerge stronger from disruptions. What sets them apart? A commitment to data fluency, forward-looking scenario planning, and tight alignment between central strategy and frontline execution. The evolution of risk appetite If turning risk into competitive advantage is the goal, then clarity around risk appetite is where it begins. The C-Suite needs to have a living understanding of what volatility a business is willing to tolerate in pursuit of growth. A working group organized by the Risk Management Association and Oliver Wyman advocated banks to adopt risk appetite frameworks that are living tools, not static policies—actively shaping decisions across cyber, climate, liquidity, AI, and more. A clearly defined risk appetite becomes a compass; guiding bold moves, spotlighting limits, and shaping how an organization acts under pressure. It’s how great companies stop asking “What could go wrong?” and start asking, “What can we unlock?” MORE FOR YOU In the financial sector, we’re seeing this codified. A report from BCG urges CFOs to drive risk transformation across every business line—from stress testing to capital buffers to scenario-based decision making. These CFOs aren’t just managing risk; they’re redesigning how the organization behaves under stress. A survey conducted by American Express shows this shift is widespread. Over 500 global finance leaders are now prioritizing digital transformation, predictive modeling, and strategic resilience, not just cost efficiency. This evolution in risk thinking was anticipated over a decade ago. In a 2012 Harvard Business Review article, professors Robert Kaplan and Anette Mikes introduced what they called the “Revealing Hand.” Their premise was simple but powerful: effective risk management doesn’t just protect—it reveals. It surfaces blind spots, challenges assumptions, and sharpens decisions. They outlined three categories of risk—preventable, strategic, and external—each requiring its own management approach. The framework positioned risk not as a constraint, but as a strategic enabler, and it resonates more now than ever. Risk fluency is the new leadership currency In today’s world, the CFO must fully inhabit this expanded mandate. It’s no longer enough to contain risk, organizations must unlock insight and growth through it as risk fluency becomes the new leadership currency. To bring this mindset to life, CFOs are embedding intelligent risk principles across four interconnected dimensions: Sensing & Scenario Design: Build scenario engines that combine data, AI, and external signal scanning to stress-test for both the likely and the unimaginable. Decision Filters & Trade-Off Logic: Align capital allocation and strategic choices with clearly defined risk thresholds across finance, operations, regulation, and reputation. Operational Embedding: Move risk from the sidelines into every business unit—from supply chains to AI roadmaps—so it's owned, not outsourced. Adaptive Governance & Culture: Build escalation protocols and “tiger teams” that activate under pressure and foster a culture where raising a red flag is rewarded, not punished. Part of the new mandate for today’s CFO is clear: don’t suppress risk, but rather awaken it and embed it so deeply into the fabric of the enterprise that resilience becomes an invisible yet constant force. This is intelligent risk taking. Editorial StandardsReprints & Permissions

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