Copyright Simple Flying

On-time performance and cancellations are two of the most important operational figures that any carrier reports. Passengers, especially those who are high-margin business and premium leisure travelers, really care about making sure that their flights are on time and that they are not canceled. As a result, carriers try very hard to have very limited flight cancellations and reduced flight delays. Having good operational reliability metrics can help airlines capture the highest-yielding portion of the passenger air travel market. This is a challenge for many major airlines that operate dense hubs, where dozens of services are operated every hour. These are places where operational disruptions can often ripple across days and flight banks. As such, having a clean performance sheet at the end of the month is something exceptional for airlines and should ultimately be valued. Two Canadian airlines were able to record an impressively low 0% cancellation rate last month. Hybrid carrier Air Transat and low-cost carrier Flair Airlines each operated hundreds of flights in September, but they both managed to avoid canceling a single service, something which customers surely valued. Let's analyze this impressive operational reliability and determine the long-standing impact on customers of managing to deliver operational near-perfection. Why On-Time Performance Matters On-time performance (OTP) is defined as the share of flights that arrive within a set schedule threshold, which is typically within 14 minutes of an originally scheduled time. Airlines track OTP alongside flight completion factors, as flight delays are often compounded across networks, and the art of managing operational complications is also difficult to master. Strong on-time performance protects flight connections, preserves aircraft turn times, and keeps crews within their duty limits. Meanwhile, poor OTP quickly cascades into a mess of rolling delays, cancellations, and aircraft stranded in the wrong cities. This is important for the overall customer experience. A matter of minutes can determine whether families can make long-haul connections or face the stress of an unwanted overnight layover. Higher on-time performance boosts promoter scores and overall airline loyalty, especially among business travelers who value schedule certainty over small fare differences. Overall costs are also a key piece of any airline's operational picture. Delays trigger overtime compensation for employees, crew deadheads, and maintenance deferrals. Mispositioned aircraft, higher hotel and meal compensation, reaccommodation for partners, and reduced aircraft utilization will ultimately compress margins. Flights consistently arriving late diminish the value of an airport's hub, as it makes it harder to easily manage a broad and diverse network of connecting flights. Weather and air traffic constraints certainly matter, but controllable levers continue to dominate. Airlines that have robust turn standards, spare-aircraft coverage, and developed maintenance networks are often the best equipped for gate or crew planning efforts. Network design plays a role as well, with tightly banked hubs and ultra-short turns amplifying the impact of an initial shock. Point-to-point flying ultimately absorbs the impacts of these kinds of shocks. What Makes Cancellation Rates Important? Cancellation rates are important because they are one of the clearest signals of whether an airline can actually deliver promised capacity. A flight that has been canceled does not just disappoint customers, but it also destroys itineraries, strands travelers overnight, and erodes trust far more than a singular delay does. From a financial perspective, flight cancellations can vaporize revenues, trigger refunds and higher compensation. All the while, airlines have to book hotels for guests and give our meal allowances, a process that burns scarce inventory and raises overall costs. From an operational perspective, a canceled flight reduces overall crew rotations while mispositioning aircraft and creating ripple effects that depress next-day utilization efforts. For overall corporate accounts, higher cancellation rates weaken punctuality and jeopardize contracts. For leisure customers, this kind of brand perception can damage loyalty. Regulators, airports, and investors continue to scrutinize cancellation metrics in performance reports and overall slot decisions, making them strategically important. Finally, cancellations continue to constrain overall growth, with planners holding larger buffers as extra crews, tails, and schedule slack aim to protect overall asset utilization rates. Low, stable cancellation rates translate directly into reliability, customer retention, and overall margin resilience in the long term. Two North American Standouts In September Air Transat and Flair Airlines both posted 0% cancellation rates in September 2025, demonstrating the highest completion factors to be recorded in the North American commercial aviation industry. According to OAG, Flair operated 2,226 flights with an industry-leading on-time performance of 89.1%. Air Transat, on the other hand, operated 2,082 flights with an on-time performance of around 77% (near the bottom of the industry), but did at least complete every single sector. This performance is impressive even in comparison to the airline's North American peers. Among the US 'big three,' Delta Air Lines canceled 0.38% of flights, United Airlines canceled 0.44% of flights, and American Airlines canceled 0.98% of flights. Flair and Air Transat's achievements are even more noteworthy given the complicated operating conditions in many of Canada's biggest cities. This performance was driven by a continued focus on streamlined network and fleet development. Flair exclusively operates Boeing 737 family aircraft, while Air Transat has a slightly more complex two-type fleet with Airbus A321LR and Airbus A330jets. These relatively simple fleet strategies help the airline reduce maintenance and overall crew complexity. Conservative scheduling allows for longer aircraft turns, something more common in leisure markets, which provides improved recovery slack when disruptions happen to hit the market. An ability to proactively prepare for operational disruptions, especially through day-before schedule adjustments, is critical for ensuring that flights will not have to be canceled and keeping these airlines' completion factors at the top of the industry. Despite being budget airlines, Flair and Air Transat both operate out of fairly well-managed hub airports, easing spare parts usage, crew swaps, and aircraft deicing, which often have limited knock-on effects. Their smaller scale also helps. How Do Other North American Carriers Compare? Airlines are ultimately graded in two ways, with on-time performance and cancellations being the two key metrics. OAG's data shows that Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines run massive amounts of flights and still somehow maintain decent on-time ratings with relatively few flight cancellations. That is very impressive given their scale. American Airlines operates more flights than these three carriers, but also has higher cancellation rates. Allegiant Air rarely cancels its services and is typically rather punctual, while Breeze Airways is extremely on-time and cancels relatively few services. Spirit Airlines also offers decent on-time performance but has a far higher cancellation rate, while Sun Country Airlines, another leisure player, rarely cancels flights. In Canada, WestJet and Porter are both decent when it comes to on-time performance, while Air Canada sits a cut beneath both of these airlines. However, some more remote carriers, like Cape Air and Air Inuit, struggle to maintain such impressive on-time performance. OTP On A Global Scale Elsewhere, mid-size carriers tend to top the charts for showing up on time and actually flying the flights they schedule. Royal Jordanian led the pack in September, with zero cancellations, and Oman Air was another standout, aided by a relatively simple network structure. Among bigger networks, Aeromexico offers impressive on-time performance and relatively few cancellations, something impressive given the aircraft's size. Copa Airlines also offers impressive reliability. A few airlines trade punctuality for a higher cancellation rate. Philippine Airlines, Azul, and Icelandair post good on-time scores while canceling more often than other leaders. On the other hand, certain smaller players like Peach in Japan also keep cancellation rates near zero. Delta Air Lines offers pretty solid performance at the global level with extremely low cancellation rates, which is something that is hard to do given the massive number of flights it operates. Premium-oriented Gulf carriers like Qatar Airways and Saudia are also steady performers in the field. The Bottom Line At the end of the day, long-haul carriers like Delta Air Lines are capable of offering impressive operational performance. However, their massive scale, global reach, and extremely complicated network structures make it very hard for airlines like them to attain operational perfection. This, however, is clearly not the case for other kinds of carriers, specifically those that are known to specialize in operating low-cost services with extremely simplified fleets. Two Canadian airlines, Flair Airlines and Air Transat, operate diverse sets of routes with relative fleet simplicity, something which helped both airlines maintain impressive cancellation metrics.