Copyright Resilience
Recorded on: Oct 28, 2025 Description In this week’s Frankly, Nate outlines four bifurcations that are likely to underpin the human experience in the near future. While the broad biophysical realities of energy and ecology underpin our civilization’s movement over time, in the moment, people will experience these trends mostly economically and psychologically. Whether related to the widening of an already existing economic gap or the expansion of dependence on cognitive crutches like AI, the demographics that comprise society are starting to splinter – to bifurcate. These divergences, and the ways we cope with them, contribute to increasing incoherence as a species. What are the areas we might witness societal bifurcation? Why should we strive to meet others in the context of their lived experiences, even when they diverge radically from our own? How might progress itself start to be redefined? Show Notes & Links to Learn More The TGS team puts together these brief references and show notes for the learning and convenience of our listeners. However, most of the points made in episodes hold more nuance than one link can address, and we encourage you to dig deeper into any of these topics and come to your own informed conclusions. 01:03 – Joseph Tainter, Peter Turchin, and Luke Kemp on TGS 01:27 – Bifurcation 02:20 – Frankly #108 The Influence of Psychopaths: Why Humans Are Better Than We Think 02:40 – How asset inflation benefits the top quintile, Bankrate wage to inflation index 02:50 – Americans living paycheck-to-paycheck, high employment rates, stock market highs 03:02 – Americans on SNAP, Ongoing government shutdown threatens SNAP benefits 04:02 – Hourglass economy 04:58 – Universal basic income 05:37 – IEA Energy and AI report (contains outlooks for AI growth) 05:58 – Average American energy consumption 06:54 – Use of oil added equivalent of 500 billion human workers to the economy 07:08 – Global economy is 1,000x bigger than 500 years ago, 07:17 – average human consumes 10-30x more in goods and services than we did in year 1800 07:41 – About 1% of Americans are leading AI and technology 08:23 – Nataliya Kosmyna, et al – Your Brain on ChatGPT: Accumulation of Cognitive Debt when Using an AI Assistant for Essay Writing Task 09:15 – AI giveaways (“it’s not X, it’s Y”) 09:34 – Nora Bateson, Zak Stein 09:50 – Jeremy DeSilva, et al. – Human brains have shrunk: the questions are when and why 10:13 – GPS use and navigation ability, de-skilling phenomenon 11:28 – Half of Americans use AI large language models 13:05 – ~60 million Americans had some mental illness in 2022 13:35 – Anandi Mani, et al. – Poverty Impedes Cognitive Function 14:13 – Catherine K. Ettman, et al. – Financial assets and mental health over time 14:53 – Almost 50 percent of people who make over six figures live paycheck to paycheck 16:40 – Frankly #65 – And Then What?: Using Wide-Boundary Lenses (islands of coherence) 17:21 – Library of Healing, Frankly #88 – Snow, The Singularity, and Rocks in the River 18:45 – John Cairns Jr. – The Human Economy is a Subset of the Biosphere 19:47 – Rube Goldberg machine Download transcript Teaser image credit: Author supplied.
