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    Richard Nyamah writes, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, is NPP’s surest way back to power

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    By Wilberforce Asare

    Copyright asaaseradio

    Richard Nyamah writes, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, is NPP’s surest way back to power

    I have had ten months to reflect on our loss in the December 2024 elections with sober reflection. Based on my analysis of available data, historical voting patterns in Ghana, and voter behavior patterns, two significant factors, apart from the candidate’s competence and marketability, have convinced me that Dr Mahamudu Bawumia is the only aspirant who will win the NPP’s power in 2028.

    My declaration of support is primarily based on the academic rather than emotional analysis of the data my research yielded. The first incontrovertible data that came to my attention is the fact that in the 4th Republican dispensation, no Presidential aspirant has wrested power from an incumbent government or President on the first try.

    In fact, President Kufour had the fewest tries of two in 1996 and 2000. The next President, Prof Evans Atta Mills, contested President Kufour in 2000, 2004, before winning on the third try in 2008.

    Nana Addo first contested the election in 2008, then again in 2012, before winning in 2016. Our current President, Mahama, came to power by default in 2012 and based on two factors, i.e. sympathy votes due to the death of Prof Mills, which the NDC smartly capitalized on and then secondly, based on the 8year cycle given to each government in the 4th Republic, President Mahama was given the mandate to complete Prof Mills and the NDC’s terms.

    President Mahama’s first contest on his own steam resulted in a resounding defeat in 2016, a defeat that convinced all of us he had retired from politics for good. He made a comeback in 2020, lost, and on his third try in 2024, he made the most significant political comeback in Ghana’s history.

    The Ghanaian electorate will always take you through storms, fires, and brimstone to test your preparedness for the job. If you do not have the temperament, you will automatically fall out.

    The second striking voter pattern I have noticed is that since 1992, the incumbent President always ends up handing over power to his primary political opponent or rival in the last election.

    Rawlings, for all his dislike for Kufour, had to hand over power to Kufour in 2001. Kufour, on the other hand, handed over to Atta Mills in 2009, Mills died “interstate” and Mahama took over by default.

    Mahama handed over to Nana Addo in 2017, and Nana Addo handed back to Mahama in 2025. Please note that Dr. Bawumia was Mahama’s primary opponent in the last election. Fortunately, in 2028, President Mahama cannot contest.

    Two things are going in favor of Dr. Bawumia and the NPP in 2028. First, the NDC is going to fill a new candidate, and no new candidate has won elections for the first time in this dispensation. Secondly, the outgoing President always hands over to his opponent in the last elections, and this is Dr. Bawumia.

    Suffice it to say, Dr. Bawumia has been on every ticket of the NPP since 2008 for five consecutive elections, four times as a running mate and once as the leading candidate. He is the most marketed candidate the NPP has, and it won’t cost an arm and a leg to sell him.

    The most crucial characteristic Dr. Bawumia brings, however, is his experience. Eight years in opposition and eight years in government are enough to have made his bones in the political arena to make him a good President who will have the opportunity to correct the mistakes our government made, and he has taken the burden of apologizing for.

    It is my considered opinion that Hon Kennedy Agyepong is going to be the NPP’s balance and a significant factor in ensuring the NPP comes back to power. The perceived factions within the party will largely come to the table and work for power if Ken feels fairly treated and loses fair and square.

    I will therefore entreat all Bawumia supporters to be circumspect in their commentary towards Ken and his support base. NPP coming back in 2028 will largely depend on Ken balancing the scales.

    Dr. Bryan Acheampong, a young, vibrant, and experienced professional, is one for the future. The NPP has a bright future with the likes of him, and I am sure he will wait his turn. However, it is Bawumia’s time, and I declare my unflinching support for him to be our Presidential candidate and to bring us to power in 2028.

    Richard Nyamah, Kpandai

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