One of the great rivalries in sports is renewed Tuesday night when the New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of their Best of 3 Wild Card series.
The Red Sox finished the regular season winning two of three in a weekend series against the Tigers to secure the second wild card spot with an overall record of 89-73. The Yankees closed strong winning eight straight to secure the top Wild Card spot.
Garrett Crochet (18-5, 2.59 ERA) gets the nod for Boston in Game 1. He will be opposed by Max Fried (19-5, 2.86 ERA). The Yankees’ hurler faced Boston three times this season compiling a record of 1-1 allowing four earned runs over 18.1 innings with 22 strikeouts. In his first year in Beantown, Crochet was 3-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 39 strikeouts in four appearances against the Yankees.
Lets dive into Game 1 of this series and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Red Sox at Yankees
Date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025
Time: 6:08PM EST
Site: Yankee Stadium
City: Bronx, NY
Network/Streaming: ESPN
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Odds for the Red Sox at the Yankees
The latest odds as of Monday:
Moneyline: Boston Red Sox (+112), New York Yankees (-136)
Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+162)
Total: 7.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Red Sox at Yankees
Pitching matchup for September 30, 2025: Garrett Crochet vs. Max Fried
Red Sox: Garrett Crochet (18-5, 2.59 ERA)
The left-hander has won his last 7 starts allowing 16 runs over 46 innings while striking out 59
Yankees: Max Fried (19-5, 2.86 ERA)
The right-hander has won his last 6 starts allowing 8 earned runs over 46.1 innings while striking out 48
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Red Sox at Yankees
The Yankees have won 11 of their last 12 games overall and 9 of their last 11 at Yankee Stadium
11 of the Yankees’ last 13 games against AL East teams have gone under the Total
The Yankees have covered in 4 of their last 5 games for a profit of 2.67 units
Aaron Judge is hitting .500 over his last 5 games (9-18)
Trevor Story his .302 in September for the Sox
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for Tuesday’s Game 1 between the Red Sox and the Yankees
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday’s Game 1 between the Red Sox and the Yankees:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Yankees on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Boston Red Sox at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.
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