Oregon vs. Iowa prediction, pick, odds, spread, where to watch live
Oregon vs. Iowa prediction, pick, odds, spread, where to watch live
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Oregon vs. Iowa prediction, pick, odds, spread, where to watch live

🕒︎ 2025-11-06

Copyright CBS Sports

Oregon vs. Iowa prediction, pick, odds, spread, where to watch live

No. 20 Iowa (6-2) has a chance to strengthen its College Football Playoff case Saturday when it hosts No. 9 Oregon (7-1) in a matchup that could define the Hawkeyes' season. Kinnick Stadium has been a proving ground for upsets over the past decade, with Iowa notching four home wins over AP top-10 opponents since 2016 -- tied for ninth-most in the FBS. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS and streaming on Paramount+. It's a potential résumé-builder for Dan Lanning and the Ducks, who don't have a win over an FBS opponent currently above .500 this season. Their playoff profile needs substance, and this is the first of four chances in November to add it. While those upcoming opportunities give Oregon a bit of breathing room in the playoff chase, Iowa finds itself in must-win mode the rest of the regular season. With Big Ten leaders Indiana and Ohio State setting the pace, avoiding a second conference loss is crucial should either slip up down the stretch. The road trip is also another step in its Big Ten initiation, as Oregon makes its first visit to Iowa City since 1989. Lanning was just three years old at the time, while current Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz was overseeing the Hawkeyes' offensive line. Oregon vs. Iowa: Need to know Limiting explosives: No defenses in the Power Four are better at keeping everything in front of them than Iowa and Oregon. The Ducks own an FBS-best 5.92% defensive explosive play rate and the Hawkeyes close behind at third nationally (6.61%) -- a fitting strength for two teams built on defense-first principles. Points from anywhere: Iowa and Oregon have a combined seven non-offensive touchdowns this season. The Hawkeyes have produced three special teams scores and a pick-six, while the Ducks have returned three of their nine interceptions for touchdowns, showcasing two of the nation's most opportunistic units. Common ground: If common opponents offer any insight, Oregon holds a narrow edge. The Ducks are plus-56 combined against Rutgers, Indiana, Wisconsin and Penn State, compared to Iowa's plus-43. Both teams lost at home to Indiana but handled the other three. Where to watch Oregon vs. Iowa live Date: Saturday, Nov. 8 | Time: 3:30 p.m. ET Location: Kinnick Stadium -- Iowa City, Iowa TV: CBS | Live stream: CBSSports.com, CBS Sports App, Paramount+ Premium Oregon vs. Iowa prediction, picks There are similarities between these two defenses, but the offenses couldn't be more different. Iowa remains a run-heavy operation with few explosive plays (9.9%, eighth-worst among Power Four teams), while Oregon features one of the nation's top young quarterbacks in sophomore Dante Moore and produces a far higher big-play rate (16.9%, fourth-best in the FBS). The Ducks have also proven they can handle hostile road environments, including an overtime win at Penn State before the Nittany Lions' late-season collapse. What might appear on paper to be a difficult matchup for Oregon isn't really that at all -- Iowa's conservative approach actually plays into the Ducks' strengths. Pick: Oregon -6.5

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