Morning Bid: A re-open rally
Morning Bid: A re-open rally
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Morning Bid: A re-open rally

🕒︎ 2025-11-10

Copyright Reuters

Morning Bid: A re-open rally

Nov 10 - What matters in U.S. and global markets today Sign up here. While the process of re-opening government could yet take several days and the proposed Senate bill would only fund government through January, U.S. stock futures jumped about 1% ahead of Monday's bell and Treasury long bond yields briefly touched their highest in over a month. The dollar edged lower as risk appetite appeared to be rekindled, although gold, crude oil prices and bitcoin climbed. The prospect of a deluge of delayed U.S. economic data over the coming weeks is likely to make for noisy and potentially volatile trading, even though there's a chance some reports may never be released in full, due to data-collection issues. Wall Street's VIX volatility gauge, however, slipped back lower from last week's highs and settled at about 18.6 on Monday. The messy economic picture for the Federal Reserve is unlikely to clear up any time soon, with futures currently seeing about a two-thirds chance of another interest rate cut next month. Although the planned end of the Fed's balance sheet rundown from next month ostensibly cossets Treasury markets to some degree, they have to navigate another heavy week of government debt sales - starting with about $58 billion of 3-year notes on Monday. Overseas, Japan's yen weakened again after new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said she would work on a new fiscal target over several years to allow more flexible spending - essentially watering down the country's commitment to fiscal consolidation. Takaichi also called for the Bank of Japan to go slow on interest rate hikes, raising pressure on a central bank sizing up its next hike ahead of December's policy decision. Chinese stocks advanced after better-than-feared inflation news at the weekend, which saw annual consumer price growth return to positive territory and producer price deflation easing somewhat in October. While reduced deflation fears may be some relief, they may also cut across pumped-up stimulus hopes to some degree. But there was other worrying news there about the state of domestic demand. China's car sales fell unexpectedly in October from a year earlier, snapping an eight-month growth streak, as consumer sentiment weakened amid reduced tax exemptions and government subsidies. The U.S. earnings season starts to peter out this week meantime and Monday's diary is thin. In company news, drugmaker Pfizer clinched a $10 billion deal for obesity drug developer Metsera, capping a fierce biotech bidding war between the New York-based pharma giant and Danish rival Novo Nordisk. Pfizer stock was up 1% out of hours and Novo Nordisk rose 3% in Europe on Monday. Today's Market Minute Chart of the day Political movement to re-open the U.S. government comes as consumer surveys slumped to near 3-1/2-year lows and households across the political spectrum fretted about the fallout from the longest government shutdown in history. Today's events to watch * U.S. Treasury sells $58 billion of 3-year notes * U.S. corporate earnings: Occidental Petroleum, Paramount Skydance, Tyson Foods, Interpublic * Brazil hosts the United Nations climate summit, COP30 in Belem * German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil interview with Die Zeit newspaper on government budget, plans for defence spending and compulsory military service By Mike Dolan; Editing by Andrew Heavens Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias. Mike Dolan is Reuters Editor-at-Large for Finance & Markets and a regular columnist. He has worked as a correspondent, editor and columnist at Reuters for the past 30 years - specializing in global economics and policy and financial markets across G7 and emerging economies. Mike is based in London but has also worked in Washington DC and in Sarajevo and has covered news events from dozens of cities across the world. A graduate in economics and politics from Trinity College Dublin, Mike previously worked with Bloomberg and Euromoney and received Reuters awards for his work during the financial crisis in 2007/2008 and on Frontier Markets in 2010.

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