Copyright gbcghanaonline
By Rebecca Ampah Latest findings from the Academic Research Polls suggest that Kennedy Ohene Agyapong may become the candidate in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential race to secure more than 50 percent of delegate votes, according to the Second Public Report on NPP Presidential Primaries presented today at the British High Commission in Accra. The report, led by Dr. Evans Duah, a bilingual business and investment expert with international experience across North Africa, North America, and West Africa, shows Kennedy Agyapong tightening his grip on the NPP presidential contest, maintaining a statistically significant lead over Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia. According to the survey, conducted between September 22 and October 5, 2025, Kennedy Agyapong commands between 44.11 percent (worst-case scenario) and 53.80 percent (best-case scenario) of delegate support , positioning him as the only contender likely to cross the critical 50+1 threshold. In contrast, Dr. Bawumia’s delegate support has declined to between 39.51 percent and 32.21 percent, reflecting a narrowing base since the August 2025 baseline survey. Dr. Duah explained that the poll’s objective was to track evolving delegate sentiment ahead of the NPP primaries, capturing changes in regional alignment and candidate strength. The research, which sampled 26,150 delegates, representing 12.76 percent of the total 204,893 delegates nationwide was conducted under strict ethical and methodological standards, with a 95 percent confidence level and a ±0.66 percent margin of error. The results reveal clear regional divides within the NPP: Dr. Bawumia continues to dominate across the five northern regions, including North East, Northern, Savannah, Upper East, and Upper West. Kennedy Agyapong, however, has solidified his dominance across the southern belt, particularly in the Greater Accra, Central, Ashanti, Western, and Eastern regions, where he recorded some of his strongest gains. Other aspirants also recorded varying degrees of improvement. Dr. Bryan Acheampong increased his national visibility, rising from 6.28% to 8.27%, while Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong experienced modest but steady growth within their respective regions. Dr. Duah highlighted that while Kennedy Agyapong’s numbers suggest a commanding lead, “the real determinant will be strategy and coalition management across swing regions,” adding that “numbers tell us who is ahead; strategy decides who stays ahead.” The research concludes that Kennedy Agyapong’s consistent performance marks a critical phase shift from earlier trends, transforming him from a leading contender into a sustained front-runner ahead of the primaries. With campaign activities intensifying across the country, the poll underscores a growing possibility of a first-round victory for Kennedy Agyapong, provided his campaign successfully converts momentum into votes at the delegate level.
