There are questions at quarterback in both Washington and Atlanta as the Commanders (2-1) and the Falcons (1-2) get set to meet Sunday in our nation’s capital.
Marcus Mariota proved to be a more than capable substitute for Jayden Daniels in Washington’s 41-24 win over the Raiders this past Sunday. Is Daniels healthy enough to return to the field this week? Regardless, the Commanders no doubt are confident Mariota can help lead them to another victory this week.
Less confident are the Falcons who have scored but 26 points through three games this season with Michael Penix Jr. under center. The second-year pro replaced an ineffective Kirk Cousins late last season but has been less than awe-inspiring through three games this season completing just 58% of his passes and tossing one touchdown pass to date in 2025. Rumblings for Cousins will pick up if the play of Penix does not.
Lets take a deeper dive into this pivotal Week 4 matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Atlanta Falcons.
NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.
Game Details and How to watch the Commanders at Falcons live Sunday
Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
Time: 1:00PM EST
Site: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City: Atlanta, GA
Network/Streaming: CBS
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Game odds for the Washington Commanders at the Atlanta Falcons
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Wahington Commanders (-130), Atlanta Falcons (+110)
Spread: Commanders -1.5 (-105)
Total: 45.5 points
This game opened at Commanders -1.5 with the Game Total set at 46.0.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!
Quarterback Matchup for Washington at Atlanta
Commanders Expected Starting QB: Marcus Mariota
Last game: 9/21 vs. Vegas – 15-21 (71.4%), 207yds, 1 TD, 0 INTs, Sacked 1 time, 6 carries for 40yds
Season: 1GP, 15-21 (71.4%), 207yds, 1 TD, 0 INTs, Sacked 1 time, 6 carries for 40yds
Jayden Daniels
Season: 2GP, 43-72 (59.7%), 433yds, 3 TDs, 0 INTs, Sacked 7 times, 18 carries for 85yds
Falcons Expected Starting QB: Michael Penix Jr.
Last Game: 9/21 at Carolina – 18-36 (50%), 172yds, 0 TDs, 2 INTs, Was not Sacked, 2 carries for 9yds
Season: 58-99 (58.6%), 605yds, 1 TD, 2 INTs, Sacked 4 times, 9 carries for 29yds
Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons team stats, betting trends
The Commanders are 7-3 in their last 10 games on the road
The Falcons have failed to cover the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games against NFC teams
The Under is 4-1 in the Falcons’ last 5 home games
Commanders Player Injuries
QB Jayden Daniels (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
WR Terry McLaurin (quad) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
WR Noah Brown (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
CB Trey Amos (calf) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
S Percy Butler (hip) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
TE John Bates (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
Falcons Player Injuries
CB A.J. Terrell Jr. (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
WR Casey Washington (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
WR Jamal Agnew (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
Rotoworld Bet Best Bets
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Commanders and the Falcons:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Atlanta Falcons at +2.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 45.0.
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