By Saeed Shah

Copyright reuters

SummaryPoverty rate reduced sharply from 2001 to 2015Progress had been driven by urbanizationEconomic shocks since 2020 slowed the fall in poverty

Sept 23 (Reuters) – Pakistan’s sharp decline in poverty has stalled in recent years due to economic shocks and a lack of structural reforms, the World Bank said on Tuesday.

The international lender said that between 2001 and 2015, a wave of urbanization helped reduce the national poverty rate from 64% to 22% by 2019, as rural workers moved into informal urban jobs in sectors like transport, construction, and trade.

However, that progress has since slowed, with poverty rising to 25% by 2024.

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“The growth model that supported initial poverty reduction has proven insufficient to sustain progress,” said a World Bank study. “Pakistan’s once-promising poverty reduction trajectory has come to a troubling halt, reversing years of progress.”

FRAGILE GROWTH MODEL

The report cited numerous shocks — including the COVID-19 pandemic, global inflation following the Ukraine war, and devastating floods in 2022 — as key setbacks.

It also pointed to weak fundamentals: low productivity in labor-absorbing sectors, poor public services, and limited access to education and training.

Many who escaped poverty remained just above the threshold, leaving them vulnerable to economic disruptions. The study used Pakistan’s national poverty line; international measures suggest even higher rates.

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Further flooding in 2025 again hit growth, though less severely than in 2022.

Khurram Schehzad, adviser to the finance minister, acknowledged recent setbacks but said the government had expanded welfare programs, invested in job creation, and was working to better target subsidies.

“These priorities are aligned with the broader reform agenda, ensuring that Pakistan not only cushions vulnerable households against shocks but also creates the conditions for inclusive and sustained poverty reduction,” Schehzad said.

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Reporting by Saeed Shah and Ariba Shahid; writing by Saeed Shah, Editing by William Maclean

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Saeed ShahThomson ReutersSaeed Shah is bureau chief for Pakistan and Afghanistan, covering conflict, economics and politics of the region. He previously reported from Asia for The Wall Street Journal, The Economist and The Guardian. A former Londoner, Saeed reported on British business for The Independent before moving to Asia.EmailX