By David Barisic,Last Word On Sports
Copyright yardbarker
ATP 250 Hangzhou 1/16-Finals
Hijikata – Ugo Carabelli: 18.09.2025 07:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Rinky Hijikata has won three of his last five matches. This week in Hangzhou, Hijikata qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, Hijikata defeated Holt in straight sets. He dominated throughout the match and won easily.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost to Etcheverry in the opening round in straight sets. The Argentine never succeeded on hard courts.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Hijikata is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in the qualifying tournament. On the other hand, Ugo Carabelli is a clay-court specialist and struggles on fast courts like those in Hangzhou. We expect Hijikata to dominate on his serve and win.
That being said, Hijikata winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Rinky Hijikata winning @1.50 @bet365
Berrettini – Svrcina: 18.09.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was over two months ago at Wimbledon, where he lost to Majchrzak in the opening round in five tight sets. He struggled with the injuries for the past few seasons.
Dalibor Svrcina has won three of his last five matches. This week in Hangzhou, Svrcina failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. He lost to Zeppieri in the final qualifying round in straight sets. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, Svrcina entered the main draw tournament as a lucky loser.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Berrettini is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. He has not played any competitive matches for the past few weeks. Svrcina is a solid hard-court player, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Svrcina covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Dalibor Svrcina +3.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Kovacevic – Royer: 18.09.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Aleksandar Kovacevic has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost to Wong in the opening round in straight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Hangzhou.
Valentin Royer has won three of his last five matches. This week in Hangzhou, Royer qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, Royer defeated Spizzirri in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Royer is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played well this season and is now part of the top 100 in the rankings. Kovacevic has been lurking on the Challenger Tour level for a while. The Frenchman played well in the qualifying tournament, and we expect him to continue to do so tomorrow as well.
That being said, Royer winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Valentin Royer winning @1.67 @bet365
