By David Barisic,Last Word On Sports
Copyright yardbarker
ATP 250 Chengdu 1/16-Finals
Sonego – Cerundolo J.M: 18.09.2025 07:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Lorenzo Sonego has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost to Schoolkate in the opening round in five tight sets. So far this season, the Italian has not had any remarkable results on hard courts. Last season in Chengdu, Sonego lost in the opening round to Daniel.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won five straight matches. Last week in Guangzhou, Cerundolo won the Challenger title. He defeated Tabilo in the final in straight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Chengdu.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sonego is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Juan Manuel Cerundolo just recently won a Challenger title on hard. However, other than that, the Argentine never succeeded on hard courts. Sonego is a better hard-court player, and we expect him to win easily.
That being said, Sonego winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Sonego winning @1.53 @bet365
Thompson – Tabilo: 18.09.2025 08:00 CEST
Jordan Thompson has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in the Davis Cup, Thompson lost against Bergs in straight sets. Australia ended up losing the tie against Belgium.
Alejandro Tabilo has won four of his last five matches. Last week, Tabilo lost against Cerundolo J.M. in the Challenger final. This week in Chengdu, he qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, the Chilean defeated Harris in three tight sets after spending almost three hours.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Tabilo is in great form and has had solid hard-court results in the past weeks. On the other hand, Thompson struggled with his form for the past few weeks. Tabilo won the only head-to-head meeting, and we expect him to do so tomorrow as well.
That being said, Tabilo winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Tabilo winning @1.91 @bet365
Daniel – Wong: 18.09.2025 08:30 CEST
Taro Daniel has won three of his last five matches. Last week, Daniel lost to Sharipov in the opening round of the Challenger tournament in Guangzhou. This week in Chengdu, Daniel won both qualifying matches in straight sets easily. In the final qualifying round, he defeated Harris in straight sets, whilst saving all seven breakpoints.
Chak Wong has won four of his last five matches. Last week, Wong won both matches for Hong Kong in the Davis Cup in straight sets. This week in Chengdu, Wong has been granted a wild card.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Wong is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Daniel has more experience at the highest level. He played well in the qualifying tournament, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Daniel covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Taro Daniel +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
