Technology

What’s Happening With MSI Stock?

By Contributor,Jakub Porzycki,Trefis Team

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What's Happening With MSI Stock?

Motorola Solutions logo is seen at the International Defence Industry Exhibition in Kielce, Poland, on September 2, 2025. (Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
NurPhoto via Getty Images

Motorola Solutions Inc. (NYSE: MSI), widely recognized for its land-mobile-radio (LMR) systems, has appreciated by 12% over the last six months — underperforming compared to the S&P 500’s 17% gain. Priced at about $475 per share, the stock is merely 6% shy of its 52-week peak of $508. This positioning indicates that expectations are already factored into the stock price, delivering a limited cushion for potential pitfalls. An earnings miss or weaker guidance could lead to a pullback.

MSI is undoubtedly a high-quality enterprise, marked by consistent demand, robust customer relationships, and efficient execution. Its operational strength is emphasized by margins, cash flows, and backlog. Nevertheless, the stock appears pricey in comparison to the wider market. Trading at a trailing P/E of 38x and a forward P/E of 32x, it holds a premium even within the defensive public-safety and enterprise-security sectors. In essence, MSI must persist in exhibiting strong, steady growth and leverage favorable trends to justify this high valuation.

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Q2 Results: A Solid Beat

MSI accomplished this in Q2 FY2025. Revenue surged by 5.2% year-over-year to $2.8 billion, with growth in Software & Services (up 15%) compensating for stagnant product sales. Non-GAAP EPS reached $3.57, exceeding expectations, while GAAP EPS was $3.04. Margins improved, cash flow more than doubled from last year, and backlog stayed strong at $14.1 billion. The firm even increased its full-year guidance to $11.65 billion in revenue and EPS of $14.88–$14.98. Confidence appears to be high.

Moreover, MSI finalized its $4.4 billion purchase of Silvus Technologies, enhancing its technology portfolio. Adding a dividend of $4.36 annually (0.9% yield) along with steady buybacks, management is evidently indicating a long-term dedication to its shareholders. Refer to our analysis on Motorola Solutions Valuation for further insights on what drives our price estimate for the stock.

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Financial Profile: Strong, But at a Price

In the last three years, MSI has increased revenues at an average annual rate of 9.5%. Over the past 12 months, revenue grew by 6.4% to $11 billion. Operating margins remain solid at 25%, with net income of $2.1 billion (19% margin) and operating cash flow of $2.6 billion.

As for the balance sheet? It’s a mixed scenario. Debt is at $8.3 billion, about 10 times equity, but liquidity remains robust with $3.2 billion in cash (20% of assets). Past performance indicates that MSI can experience volatility during downturns: it fell by 27.8% in 2022 (recovering in 284 days), by 33.1% in 2020 (with a recovery over 368 days), and by 84.9% in 2008, taking over ten years to return to its previous highs.

A Smarter Way to Play the Market

MSI’s strong fundamentals and recurring revenue render it a solid option for patient investors, but the stock’s elevated valuation and historical sensitivity to downturns necessitate caution. Investing in a single stock includes inherent risks, and a diversified strategy may provide greater stability. You might want to look into the Trefis Reinforced Value (RV) Portfolio, which has surpassed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a mixture of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 benchmark indices) to yield impressive returns for investors. What is the reason? The quarterly rebalanced collection of large-, mid- and small-cap RV Portfolio stocks has provided a responsive method to maximize gains during positive market situations while minimizing losses when markets decline, as elaborated in RV Portfolio performance metrics.

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