Updated SNF projections: Mahomes pegged at 248 yards, Nabers top TD threat as Chiefs face Giants
With less than 90 minutes until kickoff at MetLife Stadium, the latest projections and betting odds for Sunday Night Football paint a clearer picture of what to expect from Chiefs vs. Giants in Week 3.
Matchup Overview & Betting Odds
Spread: Chiefs −6
Moneyline: Chiefs −300, Giants +260
Over/Under (Total Points): 45
Simulations from Dimers give the Chiefs a 67% chance to win, with the Giants at 33%, highlighting confidence in Kansas City but also room for an upset.
Predicted final score: Chiefs 24, Giants 20
Utilize the interactive widget below to see the current spread, total, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Chiefs-Giants matchup at MetLife Stadium.
Key Player Projections & Statistical Highlights
Dimers’ latest player projections underscore both star power and depth for each team. Here are some of the standout expected performances:
PlayerTeamKey Stat(s) / ProjectionPatrick MahomesChiefs248 passing yards projected; also 30 rushing yards, with 18% touchdown probability on the ground. Russell WilsonGiants232 passing yards; ~20 rushing yards and 12% chance for a rushing touchdown. Marquise “Hollywood” BrownChiefsHighest receiving yards projection with 60 yards and 34% chance of scoring a touchdown. Travis KelceChiefsProjected 52 receiving yards with ~33% chance of scoring. Malik NabersGiantsProjected 83 receiving yards; highest anytime-TD chance for Giants (40%).Cam SkatteboGiants39 rushing yards with 35% chance of rushing touchdown.
What This Means for Sunday Night Football
The absence of Xavier Worthy, officially ruled out due to shoulder injury, could shift more targets toward Brown, Kelce, and Smith-Schuster in the Chiefs’ receiving corps.
On the Giants side, rookie wideout Malik Nabers enters with momentum: high receiving yards projection and biggest TD upside among his receivers.
The projected score (24-20) suggests a competitive game, likely tight in the fourth quarter. Giants covering the +6 may offer more value than backing the spread heavily toward Kansas City.
Note: Local Giants fans in New Jersey can use the Bet365 bonus code “SILIVE150″ to unlock bonus bets for Sunday Night Football, while Bet365 bonus code “SYRACUSE” and these deals from DraftKings and FanDuel are popular options in Kansas.
Bottom Line
With updated odds favoring the Chiefs and statistical projections highlighting people like Mahomes, Kelce, and Nabers, tonight’s game promises multiple angles—passing yards, player props, and potential big plays. The model leans Chiefs to win, but several props suggest strong upside if the Giants can stay close.
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More betting
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Bet365 Bonus Code SILIVE: $300 “Bet & Get” bonus announced for Sunday Night Football
Giants vs. Chiefs predictions: DraftKings Cam Skattebo Anytime TD Prop and best bets
NFL Bet365 Bonus Code “SILIVE” unlocks $200 bonus for Jets and Giants
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