By Marc Guberti
Copyright benzinga
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Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) changed the way people watched TV with original series and movies available on demand. Now the video streaming service is expanding its programming with a host of sports partnerships as it increases its profit margins and retains a loyal user base. Investors are bullish, having sent the stock up nearly 80% in the last year.
In this article, we’ll look at Netflix’s latest share price, analyst sentiment, multiyear price forecasts, and the key strategies that are playing a critical role in the company’s path going forward.
Current Stock Overview
Market Cap: $514 billion
Trailing P/E Ratio: 51.61
Forward P/E Ratio: 47.62
1-Year Return: 79%
2025 YTD: 36%
Netflix shares have rallied 79% over the past year and 36% year-to-date, leaving the S&P 500 behind and trading at around $1,215 as of September 2025. A high trailing P/E ratio may present limited upside in the future. Netflix currently exhibits a P/E ratio that’s higher than almost 80% of companies in the media industry.
Recent quarterly results explain why momentum has been so strong despite the elevated P/E. Netflix’s Q2 revenue increased 16% year-over-year, while net income rose 46%. Higher net profit margins – a noticeable upgrade of 28.2% from 22.5% a year ago – and top-line growth could result in a lower P/E ratio in the years ahead which could make today’s prices look more reasonable.
Netflix stopped reporting subscriber numbers a few years ago, but the higher revenue is a good sign that they’re up. Sports partnerships with FIFA, the World Baseball Classic, and the NFL will give the company exclusive streaming rights for some games, which could further boost subscribers and revenue. Even if these efforts don’t attract many new customers, the partnerships can boost retention and give Netflix more pricing power, as it’s shown in the past with price hikes. The company also has a lower-tier plan with ads to attract additional subscribers.
NFLX has a consensus Buy rating, according to Benzinga, with an average price target of $1,308.10 based on the ratings of 31 analysts. The highest recent forecast is $1,560, and the lowest is $1,495. The three most recent ratings suggest a near-term average target of $1,518.33, implying a 25% upside.
Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions
The forecast range in this table is based on algorithmic projections provided by CoinCodex. These models use historical price trends, volatility patterns, and moving averages to estimate future stock prices over multiple time horizons.
Bull & Bear Case
Netflix has continued to rally and reach new highs in 2025, but it’s not perfect. There are some viable bearish points to consider while looking at the stock’s current bull run.
Partnerships with multiple sports can boost subscribers and revenue.Rising profit margins can support the stock’s valuation in the future.The lower-tier subscription plan with ads can attract more subscribers and boost profits.
Netflix has a higher P/E ratio than most of its peers.Heightened competition can make it more difficult to gain additional market share.Any difficulties in content selection and retention can hurt profitability and long-term cash flow projections
Stock Price Prediction for 2025
Forecast Range: $1,181.27 – $1,232.99
CoinCodex forecasts Netflix reaching an average estimated value of $1,206.37 per share this year, implying a slight decrease from current levels. Even if the company delivers strong earnings, its high P/E may present some issues and keep the stock at its current level for the rest of the year.
Stock Price Prediction for 2026
Forecast Range: $662.73 – $697.79
CoinCodex projects an average price target of $678.25 for Netflix shares next year, which represents a steep decline. A high P/E, competitors gaining ground, and retention issues are some of the bearish catalysts that could bring the stock down to this level.
Stock Price Prediction for 2030
Forecast Range: $1,489.71 – $1,529.96
CoinCodex projects an average price of $1,508.87 per NFLX share after five years. That comes to a 4.43% CAGR during that stretch. Netflix’s ability to close on sports partnerships, grow its user base, and tap into more revenue opportunities with advertisements could propel the stock higher. However, competitors may bite into market share if the streaming giant isn’t careful.
Investment Considerations
Netflix has a high P/E ratio and runs the risk of losing market share to its competitors. However, rising revenue growth, an influx of partnerships, and online ads can accelerate growth. If the company continues to grow at a fast pace, it will be easier for investors to justify its lofty valuation.
Key risks: Netflix loses ground to competitors, retention issues, the high P/E ratio becomes harder to justify, and sports partnerships aren’t renewed
Netflix has a solid business model. It’s not quite a blue-chip stock, but it may be a suitable investment for growth investors who don’t want to go over the top with their risk-taking. As with any growth investment, there are risks, but not on the same scale as a fast-growing, unprofitable smaller-cap stock.
Frequently Asked Questions
